Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.497093 6.614462e-01 0.850102 1.079358 1.347155 1.646998 2.004989
2025-02-16 0.221538 3.923591e-01 0.623631 0.943617 1.359491 1.867479 2.520535
2025-02-23 0.101782 2.557071e-01 0.505746 0.897532 1.455713 2.186143 3.177968
2025-03-02 0.039762 1.613417e-01 0.407028 0.844715 1.524046 2.467716 3.808014
2025-03-09 0.018286 1.234129e-01 0.382086 0.891510 1.732165 2.948000 4.725934
2025-03-16 0.005480 8.409729e-02 0.333690 0.883883 1.851592 3.308299 5.498930
2025-03-23 0.001929 6.965559e-02 0.332145 0.957503 2.103557 3.872023 6.576832
2025-03-30 0.000346 5.466120e-02 0.320097 1.006082 2.315591 4.385111 7.601371
2025-04-06 0.000002 3.998745e-02 0.298267 1.027795 2.480390 4.831677 8.543790
2025-04-13 NaN 2.465298e-02 0.258569 0.998666 2.548684 5.128329 9.274506
2025-04-20 NaN 1.660013e-02 0.238327 1.008606 2.686222 5.537052 10.179937
2025-04-27 NaN 1.091659e-02 0.220938 1.020346 2.825752 5.952098 11.103843
2025-05-04 NaN 4.913632e-03 0.184972 0.973338 2.849411 6.184905 11.770828
2025-05-11 NaN 1.746558e-03 0.154291 0.929769 2.873608 6.418163 12.445240
2025-05-18 NaN 6.485284e-04 0.139244 0.929653 2.987141 6.806532 13.369970
2025-05-25 NaN 8.865489e-05 0.118094 0.899854 3.032324 7.077163 14.116032
2025-06-01 NaN 3.881197e-05 0.121536 0.962513 3.287167 7.723072 15.469296
2025-06-08 NaN 1.038076e-07 0.109869 0.961992 3.398264 8.117562 16.430033
2025-06-15 NaN 1.347703e-09 0.117669 1.044200 3.704952 8.869135 17.975325
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.118786 1.098104 3.948245 9.512461 19.356733
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.113488 1.122464 4.123249 10.036845 20.554981
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.097673 1.092245 4.165129 10.319923 21.367145
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.091029 1.103191 4.306771 10.788394 22.487604